Atlantic Hurricane Season Still Projected to Be Above Normal
Climatologist Dale Destin continues to forecast an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, with the possibility that it could become exceptionally active, ranking in the top 10% of seasons since 1991 based on Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE).
This forecast spans the entire hurricane season—June to November—and is based on data available through July 20, 2025, including tropical storms Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.
The forecast indicates a 77% chance of an above-normal season, an 18% chance of a near-normal season, and a 5% chance of a below-normal season. There is also a notable 43% chance of a super-hyperactive season, which would place 2025 among the most active hurricane seasons on record.
Confidence ranges suggest we could see 16 to 27 named storms, 6 to 13 hurricanes, and 3 to 7 major hurricanes, with an ACE range of 104 to 271.
These numbers are significantly above the long-term averages from 1991 to 2020.
Destin plans to issue its final monthly forecast update around mid-August 2025. Key takeaways include the expectation of above-to-well-above-normal activity, particularly during the peak months of August to October, and continued uncertainty due to ENSO and Atlantic sea surface temperature trends.
This story was first published by Antigua News on : antigua.news/2025/07/23/atlantic-hurricane-season-still-projected-to-be-above-normal. © 2025 Antigua News. Republication without permission is not allowed.
About the author
Shermain Bique-Charles is an accomplished journalist with over 24 years of dynamic experience in the industry. Renowned for her exceptional storytelling and investigative skills, she has garnered numerous awards that highlight her commitment to journalistic integrity and excellence. Her work not only informs but also inspires, making her a respected voice in the field.
Read our editorial standards and corrections policy. Spotted an error? Contact the newsroom.
More from Antigua and Barbuda
View section
More Than 12,000 Registered for CHOGM as Overseas Participation Nears 5,000
Organisers say the accreditation total includes local workers and participants preparing to support the Commonwealth gathering.
By Shermain Bique-Charles
VIDEO: Sherese ‘Washington’ Bramble Arrested During Live CHOGM Town Hall Broadcast
Sources say police were seeking Bramble in connection with a separate matter unrelated to the meeting.
By Editorial Staff
Emergency Response Teams to Stage Mass Casualty Drill at Scotts Hill Ahead of CHOGM
Emergency personnel will simulate a serious vehicle crash to test hospital readiness, while a separate evacuation exercise is planned for the CHOGM opening ceremony venue.
By Cory Wayland
Karim Edwards’ Trial Over Fatal Friars Hill Road Crash Postponed Until December
More than four years after the collision that claimed the life of medical student Kenneth Mathew and left Priyanjana Das with life-altering injuries, the accused driver is still awaiting trial.
By Cory Wayland
Comments (5)
Juju Bee July 23, 2025, 10:23 AM
Rika July 23, 2025, 3:42 PM
Devorn Carter July 23, 2025, 3:47 PM
Informed citizen July 23, 2025, 6:13 PM
Nanya July 25, 2025, 8:51 PM